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Still on Track for a Good Year

Don’t let daily market swings distract you. Despite volatility, 2026 returns remain strong—long-term investors are rewarded for staying the course.

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June 18, 2026
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I’ve said many times in this space that the secret to weathering market volatility is leaving your account statements unopened more often. This may have saved many investors from downing the antacids last Friday.

The S&P 500 Index dropped 2.63% on June 5, placing it among the worst of the index’s daily returns over the past 30 years.1 That stinks. But what doesn’t stink is zooming out and seeing how strong the index’s performance has been. A cumulative return of 8.4% is a good start to the year considering the longer-term annualized return has been 10.6%.2

Most of us would have gladly signed up in advance for that type of performance over the first 112 trading days of 2026, especially if accompanied by the knowledge that we’d have an ongoing war as a backdrop. The ride has been bumpy, but that’s what distracts from the long-term view. If we had received the same cumulative return at a constant, smoothed delivery, imagine how thankful stock investors would be. And remember, tolerating the bumps is part of what earns you the equity premium.

So, sit back, ignore those pesky market update emails,3 and focus your attention on more important things, like catching up on Widow’s Bay episodes.

EXHIBIT 1

S&P 500 Index Year-to-Date as of June 5, 2026

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Actual investment returns may be lower.In USD. Returns from FactSet. Smoothed ride assumes cumulative return as of June 5 was compounded at a constant daily rate. The smoothed ride is not indicative of any investment.Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. S&P data © 2026 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.

Footnotes

  1. Based on daily returns from June 10, 1996, to June 5, 2026.
  2. Cumulative return is as of June 5, 2026. Long-term annualized return covers the period from January 1, 1996, to May 31, 2026.
  3. Except Above the Fray.

Glossary

Equity premium: The return difference between stocks and a risk-free asset, such as short-term Treasury bills.

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RISKS
Investments involve risks. The investment return and principal value of an investment may fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful.

CANADA

These materials have been prepared by Dimensional Fund Advisors Canada ULC. The other Dimensional entities referenced herein are not registered resident investment fund managers or portfolio managers in Canada.

This material is not intended for Quebec residents.

Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees, and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Unless otherwise noted, any indicated total rates of return reflect the historical annual compounded total returns, including changes in share or unit value and reinvestment of all dividends or other distributions, and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution, or optional charges or income taxes payable by any security holder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated.

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