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Buffing Out Volatility, Part 2

Buffer strategies and 60/40 portfolios offer similar downside protection, but 60/40 outperformed over 5 years—highlighting the impact of high fees.

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August 5, 2025
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In a previous installment, we highlighted how investors looking to mitigate the impact of a falling equity market could use fixed income as a “buffer.” Today, we look at how this form of downside protection compares to buffered equity strategies.

Buffer strategies and traditional equity/fixed income allocations both aim to provide downside protection at the cost of upside participation. For example, compare the S&P 500 Index to either the Defined Outcome Morningstar Category or a 60/40 S&P 500 Index/Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index asset allocation. Both have tended to perform better than the S&P 500 when the equity market was down and lagged the S&P 500 when it was up. The tradeoff between upside participation and downside exposure is comparable whether using defined outcome strategies or a simple mix of stocks and bonds.

What’s not similar between these two approaches is the overall performance. Over the five-year period ending June 30, 2025, the 60/40 S&P 500 Index/Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index asset allocation returned 9.62% annualized, outperforming the Defined Outcome Morningstar Category’s 8.75% annualized return. High fees for these strategies can be a potential performance drag. True product innovation should lead to novel solutions, not just costly repackaging.

EXHIBIT 1

Defined Outcome Fund Performance

Growth of $1, July 2, 2020—June 30, 2025
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.In USD. Returns for exchange-traded funds are based on net asset value. Source: Morningstar. The sample includes exchange-traded funds flagged as “Defined Outcome ETF” by Morningstar. Funds of funds are excluded. Defined Outcome ETFs aim to deliver controlled performance relative to an index by providing a buffer against losses within a certain threshold, and capping upside performance to a specific limit. Data presented in the growth of $1 chart is hypothetical and assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes. The chart is for illustrative purposes only and is not indicative of any investment. For the 60/40 S&P 500/Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index model: All performance results of the hypothetical models are based on performance of indices with model/backtested asset allocations; the performance was achieved with the benefit of hindsight; it does not represent actual investment strategies. The model’s performance does not reflect advisory fees or other expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Assumes monthly rebalance. There are limitations inherent in model allocations. In particular, model performance may not reflect the impact that economic and market factors may have had on the advisor’s decision-making if the advisor were actually managing client money. Bloomberg index data provided by Bloomberg. S&P data © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.

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RISKS
Investments involve risks. The investment return and principal value of an investment may fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful.

CANADA

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This material is not intended for Quebec residents.

Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees, and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Unless otherwise noted, any indicated total rates of return reflect the historical annual compounded total returns, including changes in share or unit value and reinvestment of all dividends or other distributions, and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution, or optional charges or income taxes payable by any security holder that would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated.

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